The midday GFS is still showing quite a slug of moisture with this area of low pressure. (I posted yesterdays right here on the blog...you can compare) Keeping in mind the "perfect track" for snowmaking here in the stateline is a Little Rock to Detroit line...this one's pretty nice!Looking back at our December 1st event we had 0.95" of water equivalent (which was 10.7" of snow). Models currently projecting about 0.85" of water equivalent with this upcoming storm. That could be a 5-10" snow depending on how the ratio is. Typically we see a 10:1 liquid to snow ratio meaning 10 inches of snow occurs with 1 inch of liquid precip.
The track is everything with this! We've got to keep watching it. Right now, it's pretty certain we'll get some sort of accumulation. Whether we'll be under the heaviest snow come Monday afternoon remains to be seen. The models will become a little more accurate once the storm moves onto the Pacific Northwest coast this evening.
One thing's for certain: All schools will be closed on Monday...not exactly due to the snow, Monday's Martin Luther King Jr. Day!Stay here as we keep track of the storm. -ERIC
6 comments:
eric....if we do see this snow how much do u think we will get....just an estimate
Eric Please keep me upfdated on this topic, would it be worthgetting the snowmobiles out, Just an estimate on how much we might get 6-10? somewhere around there?
i agree with him i want snow to go snowmobiling just got back from up north not that great at all! i need to go!
Just sent a 9pm update with my best guess. Let's keep our fingers crossed!
Candice, Adam, and I are already making the plans to camp out here Sunday night.
The storm is still in the Pacific. Your guessing between 3"-8". Man...how hard up are you for viewers, after the recent warning trend? Try to scare the populace a bit more. Next time we see you you, you'll be in front of the big pile of salt at the highway dept. Or better yet at the airport...DELAYS!!
Quit guessing and deal with fact.
Milwaukee has to deal with lake enhancement during many of the southwest storms. Usually, these lake snows blow over to Michigan behind cold fronts. However, with a storm from the southwest the opposite occurs. I suspect that would skew their range upwards because of that uncertainty. During the last storm, areas as close as Lake Geneva and across much of Walworth, Racine and Kenosha Counties saw significantly heavier amounts. Because of the skewed water-to-snow ratio for lake snow, it is also quite difficult to predict exactly how much snow is falling. Some of the counties along the lake were actually under a blizzard warning during that particular storm.
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