Spring started at 7:07pm Tuesday and our spring storms aren't far away. Round #1 moves in by Wednesday morning on the nose of a warm front. Due to the nighttime nature of the storms, severe weather is unlikely with these. What is likely? Some brief heavy downpours. Some places could add up more than an inch by early afternoon (especially I-88 southward).
Round #2 of rain and thunder comes by Thursday morning with a cold front. These may be a little more potent. Having a day of high humidity and warm temperatures will give the atmosphere more to work with. There's a slight risk of severe with a moderate risk of some minor flooding. There could be another 3/4 to 1 inch of rain out of this activity.
Once the cold front moves through, things should be quiet from Thursday afternoon through Saturday. However an active pattern will continue from Saturday through Monday when more bouts with rain and thunder are expected. Five day rainfall totals may exceed the entire month's precip thus far. -ERIC
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