We've forecasted a chance of severe thunderstorms on Saturday for days now, but it's the amount of instability that we're looking at now. As you can see by the NAM computer model to the left, the highest instability lies in Iowa during the day on Saturday and may not move in until late Saturday into Sunday. The storms will rapidly intensify from Omaha to
Kansas City during the midday hours and move east-northeast. Will they make it here?One thing that may increase or decrease the amount of instability is cloud cover! If we remain cloudy for most of the daylight hours of Saturday, our atmosphere will remain fairly low. However, if some sunshine can break through the clouds the amount of instability will go up substantially. If this scenario holds true for Saturday, our threat of severe thunderstorms will increase for Saturday evening and Saturday night as those storms move in from the west. -ERIC
5 comments:
I didn't get home until now, so i missed the weather. Is there a chance of showers at all in the morning or midday?
I love how you go into more detail here on the blog about the reasons behind the weather does what does. Always enjoy reading what you're written. Thanks
No other station in town even updates us like this.. let alone teaching us how everything happens...
anyhoo it looks like the clouds are starting to break up.. its getting brighter.
we just saw some hail...
we have a couple flashes of lightning and some claps of thunder on the northwest side of rockford, near auburn and kilburn. looks like at my house here in loves park, we had a deluge.
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