Roadblock

When we get in these weather patterns where nothing seems to budge, a bead of sweat starts developing on my forehead... because "when will this weather become unstuck?" keeps crossing my mind. Not only is that wonderful upper-level low making things complicated, Tropical Storm Fay also throws another set of question marks into the mix. When tropical storms affect the U.S - especially when east of the Mississippi - our weather systems tend to get slowed down. Of course, just how much they slow down depends on the path of the tropical storm. Fay is no exception.

If Fay takes a more northeasterly track, then things will be more progressive. The upper-level low will have a better chance of finally getting picked up at the end of the week and carried off. If Fay goes more northwest, then everything will slow down even more. In addition, such a track may also make the high pressure even stronger, which would lead to a warmer end to our week.

Right now, I'm going along with the National Hurricane Center forecast, which is hedging more to the "northeast track" idea. I certainly hope that pans out, because we could use a change in the weather. In fact, some rain would come in handy, as we're now about three quarters of an inch behind for the month of August.