Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Winter Weather Advisory

6:30pm - Snowfall forecast graphic is located on the blue bar to the right.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the entire 13WREX viewing area for Wednesday. Snow will begin during the morning hours and continue into the late-afternoon. What's odd with this system is it seems there will be a stripe of higher snowfall amounts across Central Wisconsin, and another band from Galesburg up to Elgin. While there could be some six inch reports, most should come in within the three to six inch range. Will write more this evening as I continue to look at more model data. -ES

39 comments:

Anonymous said...

The QPF forecast from the HPC shows the heaviest amounts pretty much anywhere north of I-88..
I thought that areas to the northwest would have MORE snow than areas in the Rock River Valley this time due to the QPF Day 1 Forecast from the HPC.
And, what is your opinion on how much snow will fall--because during the last few storms, and especially the last storm, you guys were dead on!

It should start earlier in the morning here in Eastern IA, correct? Will it start early enough to adversely affect the morning commute?

Thanks!

Anonymous said...

That would be the snow ratio for tomorrow's storm!

For instance, if Rockford were forecasted to get .4" of liquid, they would get 5.2" of snow.

Am I right?

al said...

no, your wrong...it's the comp. models forecast of snow for next mon./tue. 13.1 inches

Justin Gehrts said...

I hope Eric is off his rocker. ;)

tony said...

Man oh mercy if that storm next week were to produce 13 inches.

Anonymous said...

Hah, well I live in Dubuque, Iowa where we don't get channel 13 WREX, but in nearby Jo Daviess County, they do.

It was a good guess, though.

And, 13.1 inches.
Ouch.
That would cripple the area.

tony said...

Yep it is the computer model forecast for next mondays storm. I just rewound my dvr and heard it. Eric, you and the 13 team are the best, but I sure hope you are dead wrong about that. We sure don't need 13 inches of snow. Although that might give us a better chance of a white xmas if it stuck around 2 weeks.

Carrie said...

I sure hope the snow accumulation total for next Mon/Tues does not come to fruition...Seems we are far enough out that those totals could change significantly...couldn't they?

Anthony said...

is 13.1 total of snow so far this year or is that the total accumlation for monday's/tuesday storm?

tony said...

As much as I love snow with christmas coming, I sure hope that does not happen. Maybe about 6-10 inches, but not over a foot. That would be something though if within a full calendar year we were to get 2 storms of a foot or more.

tony said...

It would be monday night/tuesday storm.

bryce0926 said...

how much do you think rockford area will get , not wisconsin

tony said...

Hey eric, how bad do you think it will be at 3pm tomorrow. That is what time I get off of work.

Eric Sorensen said...

Rockford will receive between 3 and 6 inches. Unless something drastic changes, this is pretty cut and dry. 0.30 to 0.40 inches of liquid. With a 13 to 1 ratio, that puts us right in the middle of the range. -ES

p.s. I had to take the 13.1 off the blog for fear that there would be a mob outside the station when I get off of work tonight. :) If you have no idea what I'm talking about...consider it a good thing!

Eric Sorensen said...

Justin: If I fall off my rocker, I'll break my hip and you'll end up working seven days straight for months! ;-)

tony said...

I think most of know what you mean eric. One heck of snowstorm next week if it all panned out. I think justin could handle 7 days straight for a month. hehehe,

Eric Sorensen said...

But then we'd have to pay him overtime. He's overpaid as it is. ;) j/k

tony said...

Hehehe, you are hilarious eric. Will it still be bad at 3pm tomorrow eric. That is what time I get off of work.

bryce0926 said...

when do you think rockford will get hit tomorrow? THANKS|)

Dawn said...

Eric,
I think you are hot!

Anonymous said...

Live chat time?
Just a suggestion..

bryce0926 said...

hey good thought

Unknown said...

Is winter over yet? I think all of southern Wisc and northern ILL has had enough!

Eric- Justin said he'd be more than willing to work 7 days a week for the next month or two with no OT pay required.

bryce0926 said...

live chat?

bryce0926 said...

i was looking at wrex home page and you said areas NW of Rockford will get 3-6in. but on the outlook it says 3-6in. for rockford,belvidere, elgin??

Adam Painter said...

I totally missed this foot of snow graphic. I took a nap and all of a sudden we've got a crippling snow storm next week? I'm scared to look at the extended models or just scared of Eric.

Anonymous said...

Anything new, Justin, Eric, Adam?

tony said...

I think the new models come in around 10 or shortly before that. Regardless, everyone just remember to slow down and take it easy on the roads.

tony said...

Ah the suspense as we wait for eric to update us on the blog about the model data, although I think it will be the same.

Justin said...

Someone told me the snow is supposed to start shortly after midnight tonight... Is this true?

Anonymous said...

La Crosse Weather Service picked up a model trend--

The snow will be later to arrive and lesser in amount.

www.crh.noaa.gov/arx Forecast discussion.

Snow will not reach the Dubuque area until 7AM.

Staff said...

What kind of data are you running at the station lol Just Kidding, dang a major snowstorm, I think it's time for employees to demand cots and beds at work next week lol

tony said...

I think we may have to wait until the news starts for eric to let us know. I believe the models start coming in around 10pm.

Staff said...

Well, I pretty much going to be like a revolving door anyways next 3 weeks, next Tuesday were suppose to start mass receiving at the new Lowe's store in MP, working long hours for 3 weeks in a row, it will be like go to work, come home go to bed, get up go to work come home go to bed kind of a thing lol

bryce44 said...

im watching weather channel and they say only 1-3in.?????

Justin Gehrts said...

33 comments (make it 34)... that must be a record.

New model data is run every six hours (12am, 6am, 12pm, 6pm). It typically takes a couple of hours for us to see the first of the processed data. Also, our longer-term model doesn't start until the short-term model is complete.

And when it's after 9 or 9:30, it's best to just hang tight until the 10pm news if you're looking for info.

Staff said...

I better say something or we will be having customers knocking at the door next Tuesday, we don't open up to the public until the end of January, it's just for employees, we have set up a store for all of you!

Anonymous said...

Justin, I am so confused.
Des Moines NWS and La Crosse NWS are not collaborated, and their forecast discussions are confusing, not because of techincal terms, but because of contradiction and incollaboration between offices.
Could you try and make sense of this, please?

Justin said...

A tad off topic Justin but I remember once during a big winter storm the highest amount of comments was like 56.