10:00pm - Here's the updated snowfall forecast for the surrounding areas. Because this storm is a straight west-east storm, developing overhead I am not going to buy into the 12"+ scenario areawide. The highest threat of significant snow will exist in SE Wisconsin and far northern Illinois. Snow will begin tomorrow morning and continue through Friday night. Updates here first! -ERIC
Here are a few raw pieces of model data indicating snowfall potential. (Third image from the pro-site at accuweather.com) Now, these should NOT be taken as God's Word, but can't be discounted. It seems to me that there is now a potential for some areas to exceed one foot of snow, particularly in Southern Wisconsin from Janesville/Beloit eastward to Lake Michigan.
One more disclaimer, precipitation type, ground temperature, and convective (thunder) potential should be weighed in here. I have a model that is giving RFD 5 inches of snow in ONE HOUR. That's highly unlikely so this should be taken with a huge grain of salt.
Either this storm will be very mixy with snow/rain or this snow will be a record-breaker. Unfortunately, I have no idea which one is the correct scenario. Bottom line: all travel interests should closely monitor forecasts tonight/tomorrow. -ERIC
This is accumulated snowfall from accuweather.com
4 comments:
Thanks Eric. I took one look at this blog from work after you'd posted the 3:00 update, & started letting everybody know I'd be working from home tomorrow.
Do you think we can email God at god@heaven.org and respectfully remind Him that it's spring? Or does anyone know God's BLOG site? :) WREX is doing a great job keeping us updated. Thanks again as always! Can't wait to see what we wake up to!
pamella: latest GFS model may be an answer from the big guy above! May be mostly rain. Who knows??? Maybe only Him! -ERIC
I have a feeling this will turn into an all rain event,which wouldn't bother me since just about all of the snow we had is gone. I think if we do get snow it will be gone by this time next week. Eric, do you and adam answer these all from the weather center or do u both have laptops or computers at home that you can log in to answer questions.
Post a Comment