Is this a for sure thing???? How many inches is to be for the counties of Ogle and Winnebago?? I would hate to get my crew of plows ready and then there be nothing.
A co-worker & I are both supposed to be on the road in the southern half of Rock & Walworth Counties tomorrow. My co-worker said, "I'm not going. We're supposed to get 8 inches of snow & the NWS issued a Winter Storm Warning."
I said, "I'm going. The air temp is too warm for any blowing & drifting. The ground is already thawed and relatively warm. I'm betting the accumulation on the roads will be practically zilch. They'll be wet. Maybe a little slushy at worst, but no ice or packed snow. Nothing an experienced WI driver shouldn't be able to handle."
Okay, that's my prediction, out on a limb for anybody to see.
We'll see if I'm eating my words by this time tomorrow.
Even though temperatures here where we live will be in the 32-34° range (in the lowest 10 feet of the atmosphere), every level above that will be sub-freezing. That means that the snow will fall fast.
Even though we don't have ground temperatures sub-freezing, it will still accumulate...and accumulate quickly.
The thing that I am looking at is the precipitation rate vs. melting rate.
If this was January, I'd be forecasting 8-14 inches...but because we will be melting and compacting during the event, 4-8 inches seems reasonable.
The NWS says 12"+ is possible in Northern Walworth County...north of Elkhorn. -ERIC
I know I am sick of this winter weather. If it were dec.-february, then I wouldn't mind it. But we are approaching mid-april. I hope this is the last storm we see although it sounds like we may have another snow this weekend. Just think, two months from now, when it is june and 80 and humidity, we will be wishing it was 30. But again, thanks to eric and the entire 13 weather team for keeping us up to date.
"We'll see if I'm eating my words by this time tomorrow."
Actually, we were both right.
You were right that this was a much nastier storm (at least in Rock & Walworth Counties) than what I was thinking it would be.
But I was right too, that there was very little actual snow accumulation on the roads. Either the air temp or the ground temp or the friction of traffic kept most of it just wet or slushy, not accumulated snow.
But you were right too, because even tho snow covered/slippery roads weren't a major problem there were other problems, such as white-out or near white-out conditions (in the country) and such as power outages (a lot of Delavan was out for a good part of the afternoon).
Eric has over twelve years of experience in broadcast Meteorology and is the only local Meteorologist who was born and raised in Rockford! In June 2008 he was given the prestigious Silver Dome Award for best TV weathercast from the Illinois Broadcasters Association. He attended St. Edwards Grade School and Boylan High School here in Rockford before heading to Northern Illinois University. After receiving his Bachelor of Science Degree in Meteorology, Eric worked at KTRE-TV in Lufkin, Texas and KLTV in Tyler, Texas. His parents live in Belvidere and are loyal viewers every night. He has an older brother who lives in the Chicagoland area and a sister who watches WREX on a fuzzy tv up in East Troy, Wisconsin. He's happy to share his Rockford home with an 8 year old black lab named Theo. Around the station Theo's been nicknamed the "13 Weather Lab."
14 comments:
Thanks for posting all of this information! It's great!!!
Is this a for sure thing???? How many inches is to be for the counties of Ogle and Winnebago?? I would hate to get my crew of plows ready and then there be nothing.
it's better to be prepared then trying to get your ducks in a row tomorrow morning.
No work for me tomorrow.
Okay Eric, I'm going out on a limb.
A co-worker & I are both supposed to be on the road in the southern half of Rock & Walworth Counties tomorrow. My co-worker said, "I'm not going. We're supposed to get 8 inches of snow & the NWS issued a Winter Storm Warning."
I said, "I'm going. The air temp is too warm for any blowing & drifting. The ground is already thawed and relatively warm. I'm betting the accumulation on the roads will be practically zilch. They'll be wet. Maybe a little slushy at worst, but no ice or packed snow. Nothing an experienced WI driver shouldn't be able to handle."
Okay, that's my prediction, out on a limb for anybody to see.
We'll see if I'm eating my words by this time tomorrow.
Thats actually a good question. They never mentioned anything about the snow melting... but you never know.
All of those who are sick and tired of winter please raise your hands.
Even though temperatures here where we live will be in the 32-34° range (in the lowest 10 feet of the atmosphere), every level above that will be sub-freezing. That means that the snow will fall fast.
Even though we don't have ground temperatures sub-freezing, it will still accumulate...and accumulate quickly.
The thing that I am looking at is the precipitation rate vs. melting rate.
If this was January, I'd be forecasting 8-14 inches...but because we will be melting and compacting during the event, 4-8 inches seems reasonable.
The NWS says 12"+ is possible in Northern Walworth County...north of Elkhorn. -ERIC
I know I am sick of this winter weather. If it were dec.-february, then I wouldn't mind it. But we are approaching mid-april. I hope this is the last storm we see although it sounds like we may have another snow this weekend. Just think, two months from now, when it is june and 80 and humidity, we will be wishing it was 30. But again, thanks to eric and the entire 13 weather team for keeping us up to date.
Holla at the weather team! You all are amazing!!!
Peace
Okay, I'm munching...
weather buff: care to share your snack with us? we're hungry here in the wx center! -ES
weather buff: care to share your snack with us? we're hungry here in the wx center! -ES
Yeah, see above, where I said:
"We'll see if I'm eating my words by this time tomorrow."
Actually, we were both right.
You were right that this was a much nastier storm (at least in Rock & Walworth Counties) than what I was thinking it would be.
But I was right too, that there was very little actual snow accumulation on the roads. Either the air temp or the ground temp or the friction of traffic kept most of it just wet or slushy, not accumulated snow.
But you were right too, because even tho snow covered/slippery roads weren't a major problem there were other problems, such as white-out or near white-out conditions (in the country) and such as power outages (a lot of Delavan was out for a good part of the afternoon).
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