Thursday, November 08, 2007

Official Winter Forecast: FEBRUARY 2008

La Nina is expected to be strongest in February. Traditionally, in La Nina winters, we can expect warmer than normal temperatures in the Upper Midwest...this coming after a near-average January.

However in La Nina winters, there are many years with above-average precipitation and many years with below-average precipitation. So our forecast is basically splitting the difference when it comes to precip with a middle-of-the-road approach.

We will conclude our Winter Outlook on Friday at six and ten with a look at March 2008. Of course, you'll get the first look right here on the blog.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Eric, what are some of the past La Nina years other than 2000?

I keep calendars going back decades (ok I'm a pack rat) with my own almost daily weather observations on them.

It would be interesting to go back and look at my own notes about some of those other years too.

Some of those years I wasn't living here (spouse in Military) but it would still be interesting. I think I remember a year in the late 80s when we were stationed in Southern Cal that was a La Nina year (or maybe I'm misremembering, maybe it was El Nino?).

Eric Sorensen said...

Good question! Here are the years that I looked at (going back to 1950). The * indicates a strong La Nina. -ERIC

50/51
55/56*
56/57
64/65
70/71
71/72
73/74*
74/75
75/76*
88/89*
98/99
00/01