10:20pm - The 00z (evening) GFS computer model just came in at the top of the hour. It is coming into line with the Euro (see blog post below) and is churning up a big snowmaker. I expect the GFS to continue a little further west with its track tomorrow. As we head into Friday the storms path should be pretty evident to us. In any event, it's not set in stone. I know many of our bloggers will get even more excited about snow, but it's still a little blurry at this point. Nonetheless, we'll continue to throw out the info as we get it. Have a great night! -ERIC
2:18pm - I don't know about you, but I am just about DONE WITH WINTER! Apparently, there's a chance that Mother Nature's still in for more.Here's a look at the European Weather Model for Sunday evening. This picture right here is that of a classic winter storm for the Upper Midwest. Strong low pressure with a warm front all the way into southern Ontario with a generous supply of cold air behind low pressure over Indiana.
Should this verify, we may be in line for a high-impact snow event Sunday into Monday. I'd say "Stay tuned" but with all of the snow this winter, everyone pretty much is already! -ERIC
28 comments:
Bring it on!!!!! First winter in my condo!!!! LOL
Done so often in game shows...I'll pass on this next storm system and stick with what I have. No reason to be greedy. Plus, isn't it time to give others a chance to play? :)
Well we already made it this far, so we may as well just go ahead and set the record.
how far off the record are we?
Monday is President's Day and many schools will be off anyway. At least we don't have to worry about "Act of God" days.
A little while back, Eric and Adam joked about how some big weather event would happen while one of them was gone. I think a new trend may be developing...
-My second day on the job, a huge snowstorm dumps 12"+ of snow across the area.
-My second day on the air, a potential winter storm may move through.
Hopefully I won't be filling in for somebody for a second time anytime soon. ;)
bu7an3: Stay tuned for the 5 o'clock news... we have the numbers!
If this storm pans out how many inches can we expect? My guess is we will get it do to the fact that Eric has been right on the money so far this winter. Keep up the good work gang.
Well, I know there's nothing any of us can do about it, but I've completely Had It with bad winter weather for this year.
Can we please move on to Spring now?
I know it is a little early to predict snow amounts, but what do you think?
And, I live in Dubuque, Iowa, but come here for my weather because you guys are usually more honest about what we are supposed to get, and aren't trying to please the viewers, but rather inform them...
Weathermen here do not really do that.
The NWS Davenport's forecast discussion did not even touch on the possibility of a big storm, or NWS Chicago, and weathermen over here both said light snow, and the storm will miss us.
I thought this was supposed to go south of us?
Did something change?
Just an observation during my looong commute this afternoon (on actually dry roadways for once, yay!).
The Interstate highway looks like its really taken a beating. No kidding, there is debris from accidents strewn along the sides of the road, numerous signs that were totalled by cars careening off the highway, and other various symptoms of serious highway troubles. We ALL need a break in the weather.
Also, on that note, the other day I watched a car (coming toward me) traveling too fast for conditions spin off the roadway into the (thankfully, wide) median strip. It was truly spectacular -- a huge plume of snow rising at least 20 feet into the air and moving like an avalanche on relatively flat ground ... you couldn't even see the car in the middle of it until the snow started to settle.
Fortunately the depth of the snow on the median kept the car from careening into the oncoming lanes (or I would have been Toast).
Moral of the story: Y'know... if everybody else is traveling about 20 mph slower than you are, think about it. WHY do you suppose they are doing that? Because they're ALL dumb or lazy or wimpy or don't have families to get home to? Every single one of them? Probably not.
Probably they've noticed something about the road conditions that you maybe didn't notice yet. SLOW DOWN when the roads MAY be icy, particularly if everybody else on the road already has!
We've seen a trend in EVERY system that the early track is too far east. Earlier this week the storm was tracking along the Gulf Coast and now it's into the Ohio River Valley. I expect the models will still play catch-up for another day or two. It's too early to guess on snow totals. When we know more, we will post. You can be assured of that! -ES
I just wanted to thank 13 News for encouraging kids and showing them the news and weather ropes. What a great way to inspire and lead by investing time and energy into children and feeding their curious minds! My five year old comes on the "weather" site with me every day to see where any storms may be and is exposed to geography AND meteorology! Thanks again for doing such a great job!
Thank you Pamella for the kind words! Getting groups like that into the studio is a treat for everybody! I remember touring a TV station as a kid and know that these kids will too! Good stuff. Thanks again! -ES
Ah I forgot there's no school monday.... I could care less if we get a snow storm lol. Eric - If you can make a snowfall map and get all locations right down to a 5 mile radius, all within a half of an inch either way, I will give you $250.
I was not able to watch the news. Can you post the numbers in this forum? Thanks,
Happy Valentines to Everyone that reads the blog here and also to everyone at 13 News, here's a link that is awesome.... And about the snow! What can we do we can't do anything about it, so just bring it on! What did we do to you God to deserve this?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VSFDWyJS7A&feature=related
I was reading the weather synopsis from the NWS and they say Sunday's storm could bring either Rain or snow depending on the track. Is this true?????
Alright who disable links lol! OK what you can do is view my profile there you will find the song in the audio clip! Enjoy!
Certainly it could start as rain before switching over to all snow. Everything depends on the track, and with it still being 4 days out the models are still unsure as to where to stick this puppy. It still should go to the south of us, just not as much as the models were originally thinking.
The record snowfall for an entire year is 74.5". At this point we are at 59.5". Therefore, we still have 15" to go.
I don't know how you got to those pages, when i click on the links, it says page not found error.
Correction For Tony...
WOW, HPC is sure confident being 3 Days out with this system.... And the phase between the Northern & Southern Systems needs to happen for these extreme outcomes.. We'll see still looking fun (:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day3_psnow_gt_08.gif 8 Inch Probability
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day3_psnow_gt_12.gif 12 Inch Probability
NOTE: type ".gif" at the end of the links...
Then They Should Work..
Looks like the WX Center is gonna have a busy end of the week! Have a good one.
OK, thanks. Also, I think in the forecast discussion, it says that the low would go from southeast missouri into far northwest iowa, i wonder if they meant indiana, because I would think if it was iowa, we would have rain. Hard to believe we may have another major snow. Eric, how is it looking now. But I will stick with 13s forecasts. They are more accurate than the NWS. Eric, if this post isn't appropriate, go ahead and delete it.
The Healthy Snow Track Would be a little to the East of what you mentioned Tony, which many of the new models show, A low that bypasses Chicago just to the SE into NW/NC Indiana and tracks vertically up into Michigan is preffered...
Yeah, thats why when I read that in the NWS forecast discussion, I kind of figured they may have made a mistake, but either way, I trust eric and the 13 news weather team more than the chicago office.
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