Update 12:30pmThe combination has certainly begun. Snow is falling in downtown Rockford. Sleet was falling in DeKalb during Smita's liveshot at noon, and I saw a report of steady rain falling in Dixon. Around 5 or 6pm the precipitation should change into all snow. From there on out the snow machine will keep kicking until sunrise on Tuesday. The late morning runs of the two main models that we look at depict significantly different pictures with this storm over the next 24 hours. I am basically throwing out the NAM solution, which takes the storm system much farther to the south. I am doing this because it is not "initializing" (showing what is currently happening in the first frame). The GFS still shows a similar outcome to the going forecast. No changes will be made to the forecast at this time. Needless to say, with the roads deteriorating tonight, I plan on being a couch potato.
Original Post:
I do not see any reason to change Justin's forecast dramatically this morning. The majority of you will fall in between the range of 4 to 8 inches of snow by the time this storm system exits the area.
Road conditions this morning are not too bad at all. We've had a little drizzle occasionally, but the temperatures have stayed at or above the freezing mark so it isn't too slippery. Also, we are waking up to some patchy fog. Visibilities are generally between half a mile and two miles as of 8:50am. Across the region, roadways will deteriorate significantly over the course of the next 12 hours. Rain, sleet, and snow still appear to be mixed in during the daytime hours, but by late this afternoon we should witness the uniform changeover to snow. If you have to travel today, the earlier you do it the better off you will be. When we are all in our REM sleep tonight (dreaming of spring), the road conditions will be the worst. Northerly winds gusting up to 35 mph are going to drop our visibilities significantly once more. I'm not looking for any additional snow to accumulate after 7am Tuesday, but the morning commute will still be quite slow. Snowplows are going to be busy trying to keep up with all the blowing and drifting that is set to occur. -ADAM
11 comments:
Well - the snow didn't hold off until late this afternoon. It is snowing like crazy in Belvidere.
Adam -- what a great pink (it was pink, right?) tie today! And was that you who coughed while Marissa was doing her newcast!?!?LOL (j/k)
It was snowing here earlier but has stopped. There's been no rain or sleet, so I'm guessing that means more snow.
This system seems crazy, but I imagine this is what you guys live for!
Oh, and what the heck is up with the website today? It's been really goofy.... I mean I gotta have my forecast fix!LOL
If the site is down use weatherfirst.blogspot.com, there is way to many hits being done on wrex.com sometimes the system get's overloaded.
We have some moderate big wet snowflakes coming down right now here in loves park.
Yes, we have or had big flakes, more like a wet fine snowfall now, which means only one thing, the thing is getting moisture starved, which brings what I think Adam says that the thing is going stay to the south of us..... Back to the big flakes, when it first begun around here, I thought I should have gotten my rope and Laso one of those flakes in the house lol
The [noaa weather radio] said 8-13 inches of snow.Is this true Eric? do my eyes deceive meee!?
Actually if the flakes are big wet flakes, that means it is rich with moisture. If it was moisture starved, then the flakes would be more powdery.
just saw the [weather bug radar]on my desktop looked like more rain on the map then I expected.uhh but it looks like it might stay as snow.
Thanks Ike!!!
Good point Tony, at one time here in Durand, it was started to be more fine, I guess there was a pocket that had no moisture in it because now it's huge flakes once again :)
southern charm~
Yes that was a brand spanking new pink tie! I'm trying to add some more eye catching ties into my repertoire. Real men wear pink, right?
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