It's been one weather system right after the other around here lately, and that looks to continue. While tomorrow will be quiet, things will begin to change already Monday night. Our next snowmaker will come in two waves.
These are two images from the GFS model. The first one is for Tuesday at noon, and the second is for Wednesday at noon. On Tuesday, developing low pressure will still be well to our southwest. However, as warmer air starts to push northward, it will rise and create snow across a good part of the Upper Midwest. This is the first wave of snow.
The second wave of snow will accompany the low pressure as it passes by to the south. At this time, it appears Wednesday is likely when the heavier snow will fall as there will be more dynamics going on nearby. You may recall us talking before about Texas Hooks or Panhandle hooks, and how they're pretty much our more "classic" snow producers. This is one of those systems.
There's a couple tricky parts involved with this. First off, if the low moves a little further north, we'll be closer to some warm air aloft, which would mean some mixed precipitation. However, given how strong our arctic surge has been, I don't really foresee that happening. The other tricky part is that one of our other main models, the NAM, isn't really depicting the second wave affecting the Stateline very much.
In any event, I currently think this should be a solid snow of at least 3-6" snowfall for most of us, with perhaps some higher amounts. Of course, Adam will have more information in the morning, and Eric will have a strong handle on the fine details tomorrow evening.
2 comments:
Bring on the snow! I'm hoping for another foot by Thursday. Don't let me down now.
Boy, I am already forgetting what driving on dry pavement is like!
I was in a neighborhood tonight and couldn't even drive up a simple hill! luckily there was a different way out. wild.
anywho, I am glad the wind died down. that was the worst.
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