We do have several opportunities to pick up some beneficial rainfall here in the near future as our weather pattern starts to become more active. I've got isolated showers in the forecast for today, tonight, and tomorrow. Even if you do run into some wet weather in the next 24 hours it will be brief and fairly light in nature. The best chance of rain with this cool front will come on Saturday as it gets hung up across the midsection of the Prairie State. Some pockets of heavy rain could come during the Friday night - Saturday timeframe. Even though several bouts of wet weather are in the offing our severe weather threat looks quite low. The volatile levels of instability just won't be there with this rainmaker.
Now for an update on where the remnants of Ike are headed. As of early this morning, each model had a widely differing opinion. There are three models that we typically inspect when forecasting: the NAM, GFS, and the Euro. The NAM is taking Ike into northern Mexico and never brings that moisture into the Midwest (least likely scenario). The GFS holds Ike in Texas before sending a surge of moisture our way sometime between Tuesday and Wednesday (possible, but not probable). The Euro sticks the remnants right along this frontal boundary and sends widespread rain into Illinois Monday (most likely scenario). Within the next day or two, I would expect these models to start to align much better and come up with one relatively similar solution. In the meantime, it looks like the folks around the Houston, Texas area are going to get battered by high winds and a disastrous storm surge. Several mandatory evacuations have been posted for the central coast of Texas. -ADAM
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