Yesterday, the forecast models were indicating that a strengthening area of low pressure would track across the Plains into the Upper Midwest for the weekend. An attending cold front would have brought a round of thunderstorms in for us on Saturday with a very chilly rain Sunday. I had upper 70s for Saturday with lower 60s for highs on Sunday. That was then. This is now.
The graphic to the left shows the new track the low will take for this weekend. Our weather models are also backing off on this thing strengthening. This scenario would keep us in the broad, southwest flow for Saturday (yielding temperatures in the 80s once again). A weak cool front may work in Sunday night, but the air behind this system doesn't look nearly as cool as before. Fortunately, things are changing for the better, but it reminds us all that when the seasons change, computer models are a lot more variable day-to-day. Back in the summer, we could see a cold front coming 6, 7 days out. These days, we're lucky if we can pick something out concrete on day 5. Changes are a-comin'. We can't stay around 80° forever, can we?
Yesterday, the forecast models were indicating that a strengthening area of low pressure would track across the Plains into the Upper Midwest for the weekend. An attending cold front would have brought a round of thunderstorms in for us on Saturday with a very chilly rain Sunday. I had upper 70s for Saturday with lower 60s for highs on Sunday. That was then. This is now.
The graphic to the left shows the new track the low will take for this weekend. Our weather models are also backing off on this thing strengthening. This scenario would keep us in the broad, southwest flow for Saturday (yielding temperatures in the 80s once again). A weak cool front may work in Sunday night, but the air behind this system doesn't look nearly as cool as before. Fortunately, things are changing for the better, but it reminds us all that when the seasons change, computer models are a lot more variable day-to-day. Back in the summer, we could see a cold front coming 6, 7 days out. These days, we're lucky if we can pick something out concrete on day 5. Changes are a-comin'. We can't stay around 80° forever, can we?
1 comment:
well based on accuweather.com ( i dont know how reliable it is), it is showing that by the 13th we would have highs in the low 50s and lows in the lower 20s. i doubt that will happen, but being october, you never know,
tony
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